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10 Things in Tech
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VOL
03
The Agentic Shift
AI stopped answering questions. It started taking action.
May 30, 2026
01 AI
Google ships Gemini Spark
Google announced Gemini Spark at I/O 2026 — a background agent that runs continuously across Gmail, Docs, Calendar and Meet without needing to be invoked. It books meetings, drafts responses, summarises threads and reorganises your schedule based on stated priorities. Early testers described it as the first AI product that felt genuinely proactive rather than reactive. Google is positioning it as the successor to Google Assistant, which is being quietly wound down. The shift from query-based AI to ambient AI that acts without prompting is the most significant change in how people will interact with software in a decade.
So whatThe chatbot era just ended. The assistant is becoming an agent — one that acts without being asked. Every software company that built around the prompt-response model now has a problem.
Source: Google I/O 2026
02 Enterprise
Microsoft AI hits $37B run rate
Microsoft reported its Q3 2026 earnings this week, with its AI business now annualising at $37 billion — up 123% year over year. Copilot is embedded across the entire Microsoft 365 suite, and weekly active usage now rivals Outlook, historically one of the most-used apps in enterprise software. CEO Satya Nadella called AI "the most fundamental shift in how people work since the PC." What is significant here is not just the revenue number but the speed: it took cloud computing a decade to become load-bearing inside Microsoft. AI has done it in two years. Every major enterprise software category is now being repriced around AI capability, and Microsoft is setting the benchmark.
So whatEnterprise AI stopped being a budget experiment and became a budget line. The question for every software vendor is no longer whether to build AI features — it is whether their AI is good enough to justify the price increase.
Source: Microsoft Q3 2026 earnings
03 Market
OpenAI drops ChatGPT ad minimum to zero
In February 2026, OpenAI quietly introduced advertising into ChatGPT with a $200,000 minimum spend — effectively limiting it to large brands. This week they dropped that floor entirely, opening a self-serve ad platform to any business. Industry analysts are now projecting $2.5 billion in ad revenue for 2026. The move mirrors what Google did with AdWords in 2000: democratise access to the platform and let volume do the work. ChatGPT now has over 800 million weekly active users — a larger audience than most social platforms. The implications for the broader advertising market are significant: a platform that understands what you are trying to do, not just what you searched for, is a fundamentally different kind of ad surface.
So whatThe most personal interface in computing just became an ad platform. This changes the trust dynamic between OpenAI and its users in ways that are not yet fully priced in.
Source: The Information
04 AI
Apple's new Siri app leaks
Bloomberg published internal screenshots of a redesigned Siri this week — a standalone app with a persistent chat interface, full conversation history, file upload support and the ability to take actions across iOS. It runs Apple's own on-device model for most tasks and routes to Google Gemini for complex queries under the deal announced last year. The design is a significant departure from the current voice-first Siri, suggesting Apple has concluded that text-based AI interaction is where users actually want to be. Apple has not publicly acknowledged the product. It is expected to ship as part of iOS 20 in the autumn.
So whatApple is conceding the model race to win the interface — betting that owning the daily interaction layer matters more than training the best model. If that bet is right, the model providers become commodities. If it is wrong, Apple falls further behind.
Source: Bloomberg
05 Hardware
Humanoid robots land on factory floors
Figure AI confirmed this week that its Figure 02 robots are operating on BMW production lines in South Carolina — not in a supervised pilot but in unsupervised commercial deployment. Tesla simultaneously announced Optimus units are active on its Fremont factory floor, handling parts sorting and basic assembly. Both companies cited cost trajectories: current per-unit economics are roughly equivalent to a mid-senior human worker when annualised over five years, but are expected to fall 60–70% over the next 24 months as manufacturing scales. The transition from pilot to production is the key milestone. Pilots prove capability. Production proves economics.
So whatFactory labour is entering its biggest transition since industrial automation. The timeline is now measurable in years, not decades — and the economics are already close enough to matter.
Source: Reuters, Tesla earnings call
06 Chips
The real chip bottleneck is not what you think
TSMC's investor day this week confirmed what supply chain insiders had been saying for months: every advanced node is sold out through 2027, and the real constraint is no longer the chip itself but advanced packaging — specifically CoWoS (chip-on-wafer-on-substrate), the process used to stack HBM memory directly on top of logic chips. There are only a handful of companies in the world that can do this at scale, and all of them are running at full capacity. Lead times for CoWoS capacity are now being measured in years. This is why companies with the most advanced GPU designs on paper are still waiting to ship product — the chip is done, but the packaging is not.
So whatWhoever controls advanced packaging controls who gets to build AI hardware. The bottleneck has moved, and most people have not noticed yet.
Source: TSMC investor day 2026
07 Dev Tools
Cursor crosses $500M ARR in under two years
Cursor, the AI-native code editor built on VS Code, hit $500 million in annual recurring revenue this week — a milestone it reached faster than Stripe, Notion, Figma or any previous developer tool in history. Enterprise contracts now account for the majority of revenue, with companies like Stripe, Airbnb and Morgan Stanley standardising their engineering organisations on it. The company has not taken outside funding since its Series B and is reportedly profitable. What makes this significant is not just the number — it is what it displaced. GitHub Copilot, backed by Microsoft, lost an estimated 40% of its enterprise accounts to Cursor in a single quarter. The IDE wars are over. Cursor won.
So whatThe IDE has become the most valuable real estate in software — the interface where developers spend most of their working day, now rebuilt entirely around AI. And the winner is not the incumbent.
Source: Cursor company blog, The Information
08 Policy
EU opens formal investigation into Grok
The European Commission formally opened an investigation into xAI's Grok this week under the EU AI Act, focusing on whether the model produced political content without adequate safeguards during the French legislative election cycle in April. It is the first enforcement action under the Act targeting a non-EU AI provider. xAI has been given 30 days to respond with documentation on its content moderation systems, training data provenance and output monitoring. A fine of up to 3% of global revenue is possible if violations are confirmed. Every major AI lab that operates in Europe is now reviewing its compliance posture.
So whatThe AI Act just went from regulatory theory to active enforcement. This is the moment regulators have been building toward. How xAI responds will set a precedent for every non-European AI provider operating in the EU market.
Source: Financial Times, European Commission
09 Enterprise
Enterprise software is reorganising around AI — not just talking about it
Salesforce announced another round of layoffs this week, cutting approximately 1,000 roles across sales operations, customer support and legacy product teams. The company was explicit: headcount is being reallocated to AI product development and Agentforce engineering. SAP, Adobe and ServiceNow have made near-identical announcements this quarter. What is notable is not the layoffs themselves — it is the framing. These companies are not calling these cost cuts. They are calling them structural realignments. The distinction matters. A cost cut is a response to weakness. A structural realignment is a bet on where the business needs to be. These are the same companies that spent two years announcing AI features. They are now reorganising their entire labour models around AI delivery.
So whatThe AI experimentation phase in enterprise software is over. The reorganisation phase has begun. Every person working in a large software company should be paying attention to where their role sits in relation to AI delivery.
Source: Wall Street Journal, Salesforce 8-K filing
10 Workforce
Software engineering job openings have fallen 53% since 2022
GitHub's 2026 Developer Survey, released this week, found that open software engineering roles have fallen 53% from their 2022 peak — the steepest sustained decline in the history of the profession. Junior and associate roles have been hit hardest, down over 70% in some markets. When hiring managers were asked to explain the reduction, 67% cited AI coding tools as the primary driver, compared to 18% who cited economic conditions. The survey also found that developers using AI tools are completing tasks 40–55% faster than those who are not. Companies are adjusting headcount accordingly — not because the work has disappeared, but because fewer people are needed to do it.
So whatThe entry point into software careers has changed permanently. This is not a cyclical hiring slowdown. It is a structural reduction in demand for entry-level human coding. The debate is no longer whether — it is what the career path looks like from here.
Source: GitHub Developer Survey 2026

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VOL
02
The Agentic Shift
AI stopped answering questions. It started taking action.
May 23, 2026
01AI
Google ships Gemini Spark
Google announced Gemini Spark at I/O 2026 — a background agent that runs continuously across Gmail, Docs, Calendar and Meet without needing to be invoked. It books meetings, drafts responses, summarises threads and reorganises your schedule based on stated priorities. Early testers described it as the first AI product that felt genuinely proactive rather than reactive. Google is positioning it as the successor to Google Assistant, which is being quietly wound down.
So whatThe chatbot era just ended. The assistant is becoming an agent — one that acts without being asked.
Source: Google I/O 2026
02Enterprise
Microsoft AI hits $37B run rate
Microsoft reported its Q3 2026 earnings this week, with its AI business now annualising at $37 billion — up 123% year over year. Copilot is embedded across the entire Microsoft 365 suite, and weekly active usage now rivals Outlook, which has historically been one of the most-used apps in enterprise software. CEO Satya Nadella called AI "the most fundamental shift in how people work since the PC." Every major enterprise software category is now being repriced around AI capability.
So whatEnterprise AI stopped being a budget experiment. It became a budget line — and a growth engine.
Source: Microsoft Q3 2026 earnings
03Market
OpenAI drops ChatGPT ad minimum to zero
In February 2026, OpenAI quietly introduced advertising into ChatGPT with a $200,000 minimum spend — effectively limiting it to large brands. This week they dropped that floor entirely, opening a self-serve ad platform to any business. Industry analysts are now projecting $2.5 billion in ad revenue for 2026. The move mirrors what Google did with AdWords in 2000: democratise access to the platform and let volume do the work. ChatGPT now has over 800 million weekly active users — a larger audience than most social platforms.
So whatThe most personal interface in computing just became an ad platform. The implications for trust, behaviour and competition are enormous.
Source: The Information
04AI
Apple's new Siri app leaks
Bloomberg published internal screenshots of a redesigned Siri this week — a standalone app with a persistent chat interface, full conversation history, file upload support and the ability to take actions across iOS. It runs Apple's own on-device model for most tasks and routes to Google Gemini for complex queries under the deal announced last year. The design is a significant departure from the current voice-first Siri, suggesting Apple has concluded that text-based AI interaction is where users actually want to be.
So whatApple is conceding the model race to win the interface — betting that owning the daily interaction layer matters more than training the best model.
Source: Bloomberg
05Hardware
Humanoid robots land on factory floors
Figure AI confirmed this week that its Figure 02 robots are operating on BMW production lines in South Carolina — not in a supervised pilot but in unsupervised commercial deployment. Tesla simultaneously announced Optimus units are active on its Fremont factory floor, handling parts sorting and basic assembly. Both companies cited cost trajectories: current per-unit economics are roughly equivalent to a mid-senior human worker when annualised over five years, but are expected to fall 60–70% over the next 24 months as manufacturing scales.
So whatManual labour in manufacturing has an expiry date. The timeline is now measurable in years, not decades.
Source: Reuters, Tesla earnings call
06Chips
Chip squeeze moves up the stack
TSMC's investor day this week confirmed what supply chain insiders had been whispering for months: every advanced node is sold out through 2027, and the real constraint is no longer the chip itself but advanced packaging — specifically CoWoS (chip-on-wafer-on-substrate), which is used to stack HBM memory on top of logic chips. There are only a handful of companies in the world that can do this at scale, and all of them are running at full capacity. Lead times for CoWoS capacity are now being measured in years.
So whatWhoever controls advanced packaging controls who gets to build AI hardware — and right now almost nobody has spare capacity.
Source: TSMC investor day 2026
07Dev Tools
Cursor crosses $500M ARR in under two years
Cursor, the AI-native code editor built on VS Code, hit $500 million in annual recurring revenue this week — a milestone it reached faster than Stripe, Notion, Figma or any previous developer tool in history. Enterprise contracts now account for the majority of revenue, with companies like Stripe, Airbnb and Morgan Stanley standardising their engineering organisations on it. The company has not taken outside funding since its Series B and is reportedly profitable. JetBrains and GitHub Copilot are both losing ground.
So whatThe IDE has become the most valuable real estate in software — the interface where developers spend most of their working day, now rebuilt around AI.
Source: Cursor company blog
08Policy
EU opens formal investigation into Grok
The European Commission formally opened an investigation into xAI's Grok this week under the EU AI Act, focusing on whether the model produced political content without adequate safeguards during the French legislative election cycle in April. It is the first enforcement action under the Act targeting a non-EU AI provider. xAI has been given 30 days to respond with documentation on its content moderation systems, training data provenance and output monitoring. A fine of up to 3% of global revenue is possible if violations are confirmed.
So whatThe AI Act just went from regulatory theory to active enforcement — and every model deployed in Europe is now watching how this plays out.
Source: Financial Times, European Commission
09Enterprise
Salesforce cuts 1,000 more non-AI roles
Salesforce announced another round of layoffs this week, cutting approximately 1,000 roles across sales operations, customer support and legacy product teams. The company was explicit in its filing: headcount is being reallocated to AI product development and Agentforce engineering. SAP, Adobe and ServiceNow have made near-identical announcements this quarter. What is notable is the framing — these companies are not calling these cost cuts. They are calling them structural realignments. The distinction matters for how employees, investors and regulators interpret what is happening.
So whatEnterprise software is reorganising itself around AI — and the pace of that reorganisation is accelerating with each earnings cycle.
Source: Wall Street Journal, Salesforce 8-K filing
10Workforce
Software engineering jobs down 53% from peak
GitHub's 2026 Developer Survey, released this week, found that open software engineering roles have fallen 53% from their 2022 peak — the steepest sustained decline in the history of the profession. Junior and associate roles have been hit hardest, down over 70% in some markets. When hiring managers were asked to explain the reduction, 67% cited AI coding tools as the primary driver, compared to 18% who cited economic conditions. The survey also found that developers using AI tools are completing tasks 40–55% faster than those who are not, suggesting the productivity gains are real and companies are adjusting headcount accordingly.
So whatThe entry point into software careers has changed permanently. The debate is no longer whether AI is displacing junior developers — it is what the career path looks like from here.
Source: GitHub Developer Survey 2026
VOL
01
The Memory Wars
The week AI's bottleneck stopped being compute and became memory.
May 16, 2026
01Chips
Micron's entire 2026 HBM supply is sold out
Micron's CFO confirmed on this week's investor call that every unit of high-bandwidth memory the company will produce in 2026 is already committed to customers — primarily Nvidia, AMD and a small number of hyperscalers. Buyers who did not secure allocations earlier in the year are now being told to wait until Q1 2027 at the earliest. HBM is the specialised memory stacked directly on top of AI accelerators, and without it, the most powerful chips in the world cannot function. The constraint is not fabrication — it is the extraordinarily complex bonding and stacking process that only a handful of facilities in the world can perform.
So whatWhoever controls HBM supply controls the pace of AI. Right now, that is Micron, SK Hynix and Samsung — and all three are sold out.
Source: Micron investor call, May 2026
02Chips
SK Hynix breaks ground on a HBM4-only fab
SK Hynix announced this week that it is beginning construction on a new fabrication facility in Cheongju, South Korea, dedicated entirely to producing HBM4 — the next generation of high-bandwidth memory. The facility will cost an estimated $7 billion and is not expected to produce its first commercial yield until late 2027. HBM4 offers roughly double the bandwidth of the current HBM3e generation and will be essential for the next wave of AI accelerators from Nvidia and AMD, both of which are already in discussions with SK Hynix about allocation.
So whatThere is a two-year gap before meaningful new HBM supply arrives. That window is what every AI hardware company is racing to survive right now.
Source: SK Hynix press release, May 2026
03Chips
Samsung's HBM3e fails Nvidia qualification — again
Samsung's latest attempt to qualify its HBM3e chips for use in Nvidia's H200 and B100 accelerators has failed for the second consecutive quarter, according to people familiar with the testing. The failure is primarily related to power consumption and heat dissipation at sustained loads. This is a significant problem for Samsung, which has been counting on Nvidia as an anchor customer for its memory business. It is also a significant problem for the overall supply picture: Samsung represents roughly 30% of global HBM production capacity, and that capacity is effectively unavailable to the market's largest buyer.
So whatThe HBM supply shortage just got worse. Samsung's capacity cannot be counted until the qualification problem is solved — and there is no public timeline for that.
Source: Reuters, industry sources
04AI
Anthropic raises $3.5B at a $61B valuation
Anthropic closed a $3.5 billion funding round this week, pushing its valuation to $61 billion. The round was led by a consortium of sovereign wealth funds including the Saudi Public Investment Fund and Abu Dhabi's Mubadala. Amazon, which has already committed $4 billion to Anthropic as part of a cloud partnership, did not participate in this round. The capital will primarily fund compute — Anthropic's training runs for its next frontier model are estimated to cost between $500 million and $1 billion. The company is the only major AI lab that has publicly committed to not pursuing AGI without safety guarantees in place.
So whatThe frontier AI race is now being funded by sovereign capital — which changes the geopolitical dynamics of who controls the most powerful AI systems in the world.
Source: Bloomberg, Anthropic
05Market
Nvidia's market cap crosses $4 trillion
Nvidia briefly crossed a $4 trillion market capitalisation this week, a figure that exceeds the GDP of Germany. The milestone came after the company reported quarterly revenue of $44 billion — up 78% year over year — driven almost entirely by data centre GPU sales. The H100 and H200 remain the dominant AI training chips, and the next-generation Blackwell architecture is selling out as fast as it ships. Nvidia now captures an estimated 85% of the global AI accelerator market by revenue.
So whatNo single company in history has been this dominant in a market this important this quickly. That concentration carries risks — regulatory, competitive and geopolitical — that are only beginning to be priced in.
Source: Nvidia Q1 2026 earnings
06Enterprise
ServiceNow becomes the first $50B ARR SaaS company
ServiceNow reported this week that it has crossed $50 billion in annual recurring revenue — the first SaaS company in history to reach that milestone. The growth is being driven almost entirely by its AI layer, Now Assist, which automates IT service management, HR workflows and customer operations. The company raised its full-year guidance for the third consecutive quarter. CEO Bill McDermott attributed the acceleration to what he called "AI monetisation at enterprise scale" — customers are paying meaningfully more per seat for AI-enabled versions of products they already use.
So whatThe SaaS re-pricing around AI is real and it is happening now. Companies that can credibly attach AI to existing workflows are repricing their entire installed base upward.
Source: ServiceNow Q1 2026 earnings
07Workforce
Goldman Sachs estimates AI will automate 300M jobs globally
Goldman Sachs published an updated labour market analysis this week, revising its 2023 estimate upward. The new report projects that AI will automate the equivalent of 300 million full-time jobs globally over the next decade — up from the 200 million estimate two years ago. The revision is driven by faster-than-expected adoption of agentic AI in white-collar work, particularly in legal, financial analysis, software development and customer service roles. The report notes that the impact is already measurable in hiring data in several of these categories.
So whatThe labour market impact of AI is not a future event. It is a current event — and the models that were used to forecast it are already being revised upward.
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
08Dev Tools
GitHub Copilot loses 40% of enterprise accounts in one quarter
Internal data leaked to The Information shows GitHub Copilot lost approximately 40% of its enterprise accounts in Q1 2026 — the majority of them migrating to Cursor. The losses are concentrated among companies with more than 500 engineers, where Copilot's integration model has struggled to match Cursor's native AI workflow. Microsoft, which owns GitHub, has responded by announcing Copilot will be deeply embedded into VS Code itself in a forthcoming update — effectively conceding the standalone market and betting on the IDE lock-in.
So whatThe developer tools market is being disrupted faster than any other category in enterprise software — and the incumbents are scrambling to respond.
Source: The Information
09Policy
US Senate passes the AI Transparency Act
The US Senate passed the AI Transparency Act this week in a 67-33 vote, sending it to the House. The bill would require any AI system used in consequential decisions — hiring, lending, healthcare, criminal justice — to disclose that AI was involved in the decision and provide a mechanism for human review. It does not regulate the models themselves, only their deployment in specific contexts. The tech industry is largely supportive, seeing it as preferable to more restrictive alternatives that were circulating earlier in the year. Civil liberties groups are more divided.
So whatFederal AI regulation in the US just moved from possibility to probability. The House passage is not guaranteed but the Senate vote signals real bipartisan appetite for some form of AI governance.
Source: US Senate, Congressional Record
10AI
Meta releases Llama 4 — open source, outperforms GPT-4o
Meta released Llama 4 this week under an open-source licence, and independent benchmarks suggest it outperforms GPT-4o on most standard evaluations and matches Claude 3.5 Sonnet on reasoning tasks. The release includes both a base model and an instruction-tuned variant. The implications for the AI industry are significant: a model of this capability being freely available means any company, researcher or developer in the world can now run frontier-level AI without paying API fees. It also puts pressure on OpenAI and Anthropic to justify their pricing models.
So whatOpen-source AI just caught up to closed frontier models — and that changes the economics of the entire industry.
Source: Meta AI blog, independent benchmarks
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