01Chips
Micron's entire 2026 HBM supply is sold out
Micron's CFO confirmed on this week's investor call that every unit of high-bandwidth memory the company will produce in 2026 is already committed to customers — primarily Nvidia, AMD and a small number of hyperscalers. Buyers who did not secure allocations earlier in the year are now being told to wait until Q1 2027 at the earliest. HBM is the specialised memory stacked directly on top of AI accelerators, and without it, the most powerful chips in the world cannot function. The constraint is not fabrication — it is the extraordinarily complex bonding and stacking process that only a handful of facilities in the world can perform.
So whatWhoever controls HBM supply controls the pace of AI. Right now, that is Micron, SK Hynix and Samsung — and all three are sold out.
Source: Micron investor call, May 2026
02Chips
SK Hynix breaks ground on a HBM4-only fab
SK Hynix announced this week that it is beginning construction on a new fabrication facility in Cheongju, South Korea, dedicated entirely to producing HBM4 — the next generation of high-bandwidth memory. The facility will cost an estimated $7 billion and is not expected to produce its first commercial yield until late 2027. HBM4 offers roughly double the bandwidth of the current HBM3e generation and will be essential for the next wave of AI accelerators from Nvidia and AMD, both of which are already in discussions with SK Hynix about allocation.
So whatThere is a two-year gap before meaningful new HBM supply arrives. That window is what every AI hardware company is racing to survive right now.
Source: SK Hynix press release, May 2026
03Chips
Samsung's HBM3e fails Nvidia qualification — again
Samsung's latest attempt to qualify its HBM3e chips for use in Nvidia's H200 and B100 accelerators has failed for the second consecutive quarter, according to people familiar with the testing. The failure is primarily related to power consumption and heat dissipation at sustained loads. This is a significant problem for Samsung, which has been counting on Nvidia as an anchor customer for its memory business. It is also a significant problem for the overall supply picture: Samsung represents roughly 30% of global HBM production capacity, and that capacity is effectively unavailable to the market's largest buyer.
So whatThe HBM supply shortage just got worse. Samsung's capacity cannot be counted until the qualification problem is solved — and there is no public timeline for that.
Source: Reuters, industry sources
04AI
Anthropic raises $3.5B at a $61B valuation
Anthropic closed a $3.5 billion funding round this week, pushing its valuation to $61 billion. The round was led by a consortium of sovereign wealth funds including the Saudi Public Investment Fund and Abu Dhabi's Mubadala. Amazon, which has already committed $4 billion to Anthropic as part of a cloud partnership, did not participate in this round. The capital will primarily fund compute — Anthropic's training runs for its next frontier model are estimated to cost between $500 million and $1 billion. The company is the only major AI lab that has publicly committed to not pursuing AGI without safety guarantees in place.
So whatThe frontier AI race is now being funded by sovereign capital — which changes the geopolitical dynamics of who controls the most powerful AI systems in the world.
Source: Bloomberg, Anthropic
05Market
Nvidia's market cap crosses $4 trillion
Nvidia briefly crossed a $4 trillion market capitalisation this week, a figure that exceeds the GDP of Germany. The milestone came after the company reported quarterly revenue of $44 billion — up 78% year over year — driven almost entirely by data centre GPU sales. The H100 and H200 remain the dominant AI training chips, and the next-generation Blackwell architecture is selling out as fast as it ships. Nvidia now captures an estimated 85% of the global AI accelerator market by revenue.
So whatNo single company in history has been this dominant in a market this important this quickly. That concentration carries risks — regulatory, competitive and geopolitical — that are only beginning to be priced in.
Source: Nvidia Q1 2026 earnings
06Enterprise
ServiceNow becomes the first $50B ARR SaaS company
ServiceNow reported this week that it has crossed $50 billion in annual recurring revenue — the first SaaS company in history to reach that milestone. The growth is being driven almost entirely by its AI layer, Now Assist, which automates IT service management, HR workflows and customer operations. The company raised its full-year guidance for the third consecutive quarter. CEO Bill McDermott attributed the acceleration to what he called "AI monetisation at enterprise scale" — customers are paying meaningfully more per seat for AI-enabled versions of products they already use.
So whatThe SaaS re-pricing around AI is real and it is happening now. Companies that can credibly attach AI to existing workflows are repricing their entire installed base upward.
Source: ServiceNow Q1 2026 earnings
07Workforce
Goldman Sachs estimates AI will automate 300M jobs globally
Goldman Sachs published an updated labour market analysis this week, revising its 2023 estimate upward. The new report projects that AI will automate the equivalent of 300 million full-time jobs globally over the next decade — up from the 200 million estimate two years ago. The revision is driven by faster-than-expected adoption of agentic AI in white-collar work, particularly in legal, financial analysis, software development and customer service roles. The report notes that the impact is already measurable in hiring data in several of these categories.
So whatThe labour market impact of AI is not a future event. It is a current event — and the models that were used to forecast it are already being revised upward.
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
08Dev Tools
GitHub Copilot loses 40% of enterprise accounts in one quarter
Internal data leaked to The Information shows GitHub Copilot lost approximately 40% of its enterprise accounts in Q1 2026 — the majority of them migrating to Cursor. The losses are concentrated among companies with more than 500 engineers, where Copilot's integration model has struggled to match Cursor's native AI workflow. Microsoft, which owns GitHub, has responded by announcing Copilot will be deeply embedded into VS Code itself in a forthcoming update — effectively conceding the standalone market and betting on the IDE lock-in.
So whatThe developer tools market is being disrupted faster than any other category in enterprise software — and the incumbents are scrambling to respond.
Source: The Information
09Policy
US Senate passes the AI Transparency Act
The US Senate passed the AI Transparency Act this week in a 67-33 vote, sending it to the House. The bill would require any AI system used in consequential decisions — hiring, lending, healthcare, criminal justice — to disclose that AI was involved in the decision and provide a mechanism for human review. It does not regulate the models themselves, only their deployment in specific contexts. The tech industry is largely supportive, seeing it as preferable to more restrictive alternatives that were circulating earlier in the year. Civil liberties groups are more divided.
So whatFederal AI regulation in the US just moved from possibility to probability. The House passage is not guaranteed but the Senate vote signals real bipartisan appetite for some form of AI governance.
Source: US Senate, Congressional Record
10AI
Meta releases Llama 4 — open source, outperforms GPT-4o
Meta released Llama 4 this week under an open-source licence, and independent benchmarks suggest it outperforms GPT-4o on most standard evaluations and matches Claude 3.5 Sonnet on reasoning tasks. The release includes both a base model and an instruction-tuned variant. The implications for the AI industry are significant: a model of this capability being freely available means any company, researcher or developer in the world can now run frontier-level AI without paying API fees. It also puts pressure on OpenAI and Anthropic to justify their pricing models.
So whatOpen-source AI just caught up to closed frontier models — and that changes the economics of the entire industry.
Source: Meta AI blog, independent benchmarks